Necessary-Elicit
0x9560b44158b6528314b8cc93992261eb5cec1279
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$518.08
Total PnL
$6.23
Realised
$2.19
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
591 shares @ 28.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$162.45
$-2.95
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?
177 shares @ 77.6¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$138.94
$1.56
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
160 shares @ 62.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$105.40
$6.29
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
263 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$43.33
$-2.29
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?
46 shares @ 88.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$38.82
$-1.63
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 72.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.75
$3.15
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
33 shares @ 9.3¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.01
$-0.10
- YES
Will there be fewer than 2 North Korea tests in May 2026?
2 shares @ 68.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.38
$0.02
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.53May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$7.87May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$31.47May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$15.74May 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$15.74May 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$15.74May 17, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$7.77May 17, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$5.44May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?$38.85May 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$3.20May 17, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMPower Slap 20: Knockouts O/U 4.5$5.00May 17, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$4.75May 17, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?$7.69May 17, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$9.65May 17, 02:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43May 17, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$18.52May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1.09May 16, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$9.86May 16, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$9.20May 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$1.20May 16, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".