Occasional-Constitution
0x958d9cd4068fa578781073c2d66099865e543501
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$10.0K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
15%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
4297 shares @ 62.8¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$2.8K
$49.09
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
2291 shares @ 40.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.7K
$730.37
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
1301 shares @ 57.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$747.86
$-2.91
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
822 shares @ 75.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$703.12
$82.18
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
908 shares @ 50.8¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$649.13
$188.22
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?
720 shares @ 73.7¢·now 66.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$475.26
$-55.73
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
881 shares @ 54.6¢·now 51.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$449.09
$-31.89
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
486 shares @ 68.1¢·now 68.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$334.19
$3.21
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
399 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$329.02
$-1.98
- YES
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?
1336 shares @ 20.2¢·now 22.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$293.97
$23.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$10.15May 18, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$9.09May 18, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$11.11May 18, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$19.19May 18, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMFC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$413.39May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$51.51May 17, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$30.15May 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$301.53May 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)$42.81May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$10.00May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?$10.15May 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$103.41May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?$30.22May 17, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$10.00May 17, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$10.00May 17, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$20.23May 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBrentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5$12.18May 17, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?$26.28May 17, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLLeeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5$36.54May 17, 19:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $43.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".