Circular-Headquarters
0x95c256faf553cc6354ddfd3bddea344eab935a17
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-116.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$-115.50
- YES
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
1110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.56
$-0.56
- YES
Will "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?
624 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?$0.00May 17, 03:21 UTC
- MERGEWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$42.01May 15, 23:49 UTC
- SPLITWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$42.01May 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$0.56May 14, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?$1.08May 14, 10:02 UTC
- MERGEWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$42.78May 13, 09:05 UTC
- SPLITWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$42.78May 8, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$43.76May 3, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wasteland Cop" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31?$1.24Apr 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?$43.67Apr 25, 16:28 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 22?$43.19Apr 23, 09:56 UTC
- SPLITWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 22?$43.19Apr 22, 23:25 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$43.08Apr 21, 09:28 UTC
- SPLITUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$43.08Apr 20, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chi Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$0.00Apr 20, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chi Hyun Chung win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$1.06Apr 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.01Apr 17, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$1.39Apr 17, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.11Apr 17, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.31Apr 16, 19:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $107.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".