Lucky-Nerve
0x95cab1072ae21ab66268ff8c2339d5b7118de4a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$536.85
Total PnL
$18.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
182 shares @ 78.6¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.40
$-26.60
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
122 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$114.63
$14.63
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
105 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$104.21
$1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
107 shares @ 93.5¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$103.25
$3.21
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 41.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$50.60
$25.60
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.75
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$47.50May 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$100.05May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$103.22May 12, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$0.00May 9, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$0.00May 9, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 9, 04:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.61May 9, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$78.67May 9, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$102.51May 9, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.72May 6, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$25.58May 6, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$3.88Apr 14, 15:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$0.00Apr 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00Apr 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$0.00Apr 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$0.00Apr 14, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$52.87Apr 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?$15.00Apr 13, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $57.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 19:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".