Thirsty-Spoon
0x95d5609631fd172f1447352a951be977384908bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$17.4K
Total PnL
$68.33
Realised
$17.99
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
5000 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$4.5K
$-25.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
3128 shares @ 93.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$10.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$45.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
2461 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.5K
$41.17
- NO
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
1877 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.9K
$1.94
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
1887 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.9K
$26.89
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
420 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$389.34
$-5.66
- NO
US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?
252 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$250.87
$2.33
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
129 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.74
$-0.19
- NO
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?
125 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$123.19
$5.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.8KMay 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$998.00May 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$94.50May 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$2.7KMay 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$876.12May 17, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$13.74May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$141.65May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$176.00May 17, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.0KMay 17, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$44.63May 17, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$553.56May 17, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$336.05May 17, 02:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $340.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".