Third-Refuge
0x9632307a9f4f7e42ee9e4d5f11990b117d8ea379
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-695.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
1461 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.5K
$0.81
- NO
Will the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 18?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$8.08
$0.01
- NO
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 98.1¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.68
$-0.20
- NO
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.65
$-0.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?
6 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.61
$0.03
- ALEJANDRO DAVIDOVICH FOKINA
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.37
$0.27
- NO
Will Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.18
$0.00
- NO
Will Dusan Vlahovic be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 28, 2026$5.14
$0.01
- NO
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.01
$0.00
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.97
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet$5.11May 18, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?$5.87May 18, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-17?$3.51May 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-17?$1.86May 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-05-17?$5.11May 17, 21:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 16?$6.30May 16, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?$4.10May 16, 15:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 18?$8.06May 15, 14:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMZagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Lukas Neumayer$6.07May 14, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?$5.23May 14, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 15?$0.63May 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $1.00 on May 16?$6.29May 14, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYZagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Lukas Neumayer$5.72May 14, 11:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMValencia: Bernabe Zapata Miralles vs Adolfo Vallejo$5.65May 12, 21:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $67.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".