Real-Bikini
0x968fe634c0f1f8d005a5bff9983d625db023a539
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$19.04
Win rate
53%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
1255 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.3K
$338.85
- NO
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
1086 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$1.1K
$347.52
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
697 shares @ 78.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$697.00
$147.07
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
751 shares @ 64.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$499.42
$18.77
- PORTSMOUTH FC
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)
425 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$425.00
$68.00
- HERSHEY BEARS
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears
316 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$316.00
$72.68
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
264 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$263.87
$0.13
- WESTERN CAROLINA CATAMOUNTS
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts
455 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$227.50
$13.65
- NO
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
566 shares @ 56.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$203.76
$-113.20
- YES
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?
198 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$198.00
$154.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$433.68Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?$152.10Apr 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?$28.00Apr 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$131.12Apr 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$235.84Apr 27, 08:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$235.84Apr 27, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$105.60Apr 27, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$60.00Apr 27, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLDeel IPO before 2027?$4.96Apr 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan Winner$279.71Apr 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$331.84Apr 21, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$120.12Apr 21, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score$747.24Apr 21, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$89.40Apr 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$314.70Apr 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$466.65Apr 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$15.36Apr 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$27.76Apr 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYClemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts$213.85Apr 13, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?$48.51Apr 13, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $269.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".