Wretched-Outrigger
0x96e8e42db87aae72bf635ef6db7c3f1adb2dd240
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$778.23
Win rate
81%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
757 shares @ 53.4¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$495.55
$91.84
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
1399 shares @ 50.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$420.52
$-283.82
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 65.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$369.99
$110.00
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
320 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$292.47
$11.31
- YES
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
468 shares @ 32.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.89
$3.34
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
165 shares @ 51.9¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$90.54
$5.03
- YES
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
25486 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$63.71
$12.74
- YES
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
13326 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.97
$-6.66
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: May
400 shares @ 31.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.00
$-82.00
- NO
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
6785 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$33.93
$-81.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.14May 18, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.13May 18, 10:35 UTC
- REWARD$0.46May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.40May 18, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$0.13May 18, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.09May 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$1.00May 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.02May 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.00May 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.01May 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.00May 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.02May 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$1.00May 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$0.01May 18, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.02May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.01May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.01May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.01May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.11May 18, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.15May 18, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".