Opulent-Chairlift
0x976552c871b70a84ac078f16da410afafdb6ac07
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$967.27
Total PnL
$-7.33
Realised
$1.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?
523 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$512.11
$-0.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
107 shares @ 81.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.25
$6.72
- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?
99 shares @ 97.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$91.12
$-5.33
- NO
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
88 shares @ 88.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$77.70
$-0.82
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
64 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.76
$1.60
- NO
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
62 shares @ 50.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.85
$10.85
- NO
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
45 shares @ 84.2¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.10
$-2.80
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
32 shares @ 87.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$24.16
$-3.68
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
118 shares @ 26.4¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$15.89
$-15.24
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
22 shares @ 56.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$12.21
$-0.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?$88.27May 18, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$403.45May 18, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$492.28May 18, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$6.86May 18, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$0.00May 18, 09:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$78.45May 16, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$51.79May 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$16.06May 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$4.21May 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$0.26May 16, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$23.78May 16, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?$8.26May 16, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $472.50 Week of May 18 2026?$12.91May 16, 23:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 11 2026?$15.00May 16, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 11 2026?$100.00May 16, 23:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $55.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 08:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".