Flaky-Machine
0x9771bbd2a6226a2213a283649e3bc04bc8945a0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$88.3K
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
41210 shares @ 84.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.3K
$2.3K
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
43066 shares @ 55.3¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$23.9K
$78.73
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
20718 shares @ 89.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.3K
$-238.61
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
2355 shares @ 84.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$260.62
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
2225 shares @ 89.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$79.93
- NO
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
1772 shares @ 69.6¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$441.44
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
4325 shares @ 35.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$-64.87
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
1017 shares @ 78.7¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$910.54
$109.54
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
513 shares @ 70.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$377.22
$18.22
Recent activity
- YIELD$4.81May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.83May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.83May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.83May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.25May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$1.8KMay 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$10.2KMay 13, 10:17 UTC
- YIELD$3.54May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.58May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.9KMay 11, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$3.0KMay 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.6KMay 11, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$3.1KMay 11, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.0KMay 11, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$3.0KMay 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$10.0KMay 11, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before 2027?$20.7KMay 11, 10:43 UTC
- YIELD$3.62May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.62May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$20.17May 9, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".