Willing-Arm
0x97f3f9f15c0063710c60d3ac9c40d17f4ba60eba
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$32.9K
Total PnL
$4.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
21389 shares @ 70.1¢·now 72.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.4K
$432.03
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
6412 shares @ 44.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.4K
$1.5K
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
3461 shares @ 57.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
4624 shares @ 39.7¢·now 59.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.7K
$891.87
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
2624 shares @ 34.3¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$962.79
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1987 shares @ 75.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$327.76
- YES
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
3261 shares @ 23.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$326.04
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
1578 shares @ 34.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$907.38
$357.38
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
430 shares @ 46.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$311.75
$111.75
- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
938 shares @ 80.0¢·now 31.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$291.60
$-458.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$606.39May 16, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?$750.00May 14, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$257.35May 13, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$92.79May 13, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$51.83May 13, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.1KMay 12, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$880.34May 8, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$868.23May 8, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.1KMay 7, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.5KMay 7, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$0.00May 6, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 4, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$0.00May 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$0.00May 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMHouthis successfully target shipping by April 30?$0.00May 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.00May 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?$0.00May 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$0.00May 2, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$0.00Apr 27, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $3.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 08:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".