Damaged-Crayon
0x98181fd54a548ed123eaa08887512061b0e37cd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-222.09
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
986 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$852.89
$-14.79
- SRI LANKA
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
903 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$681.76
$-31.61
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
112 shares @ 62.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$99.68
$30.24
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 84.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$34.42
$-36.97
- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 75.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$16.91
$2.66
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
56 shares @ 21.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.68
$-3.08
- NO
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
4 shares @ 71.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.67
$0.83
- YES
Will there be 5 or more confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.28
$-0.73
- YES
Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
93 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.28
$-33.20
- YES
Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
727 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-530.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$246.76Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?$54.86Apr 23, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$254.72Apr 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?$867.68Apr 23, 11:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$903.00Apr 13, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$45.63Apr 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$37.70Apr 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$57.76Apr 12, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$132.86Apr 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$54.72Apr 11, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$127.75Apr 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$167.20Apr 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELL5kt meteor strike in 2026?$14.52Apr 9, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka$713.37Mar 29, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$13.49Mar 29, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$108.30Mar 29, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?$779.00Mar 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLAltcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?$24.65Mar 26, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAltcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?$31.45Mar 26, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$174.47Mar 24, 13:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $190.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".