Orderly-Guess
0x9833960ab6621bc5ada4ee0c6d2b2913994f0b32
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$630.63
Realised
$735.46
Win rate
68%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
2398 shares @ 45.5¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-47.21
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2398 shares @ 44.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$947.14
$-129.93
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1254 shares @ 69.5¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$896.41
$25.26
- NO
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
647 shares @ 85.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$526.94
$-28.00
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
1258 shares @ 27.2¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$408.76
$66.50
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?
226 shares @ 73.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$166.41
$-0.29
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
180 shares @ 79.6¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.53
$-5.59
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
132 shares @ 66.1¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.91
$3.83
- NO
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?
230 shares @ 22.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.35
$36.70
- YES
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?
719 shares @ 12.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.22
$-5.46
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?$8.91May 14, 22:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?$13.37May 9, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?$22.51May 9, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?$15.59May 9, 06:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 9, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI IPO before 2027?$6.03May 8, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$13.83May 8, 14:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?$145.64May 6, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$8.45May 6, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $14.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 01:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".