Ill-Informed-Commotion
0x983750c71eb09715746f3944caa9905a58f78bf8
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-523.67
Realised
$300.28
Win rate
82%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?
217 shares @ 76.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$212.40
$46.46
- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
150 shares @ 18.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$150.00
$122.60
- NO
Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?
100 shares @ 83.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.00
$16.55
- YES
Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$100.00
$9.00
- NO
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$99.99
$70.99
- YES
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
111 shares @ 18.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$99.70
$78.79
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$89.00
$-9.00
- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
100 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.50
$11.50
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
350 shares @ 14.6¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.04
$18.99
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
80 shares @ 83.6¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.60
$-1.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $20.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".