French-Dungeon
0x983d4c605334ad3ef06227f1cccc8fc2dd5c933f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$35.48
Total PnL
$-46.73
Realised
$14.57
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?
292 shares @ 11.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.93
$-12.59
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.77
$1.77
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 20.6¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.82
$-1.18
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
74 shares @ 26.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.82
$-18.17
- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$-0.73
- YES
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
11 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$-0.94
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.1¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.53
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$5.86May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$0.75May 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$0.25May 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1.03May 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$1.03May 13, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi hug at their summit?$1.04May 12, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$1.04May 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump insult MBS by May 15?$1.04May 10, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$1.00May 10, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$2.44May 9, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 31?$1.04May 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$5.79May 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.05May 7, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio visit China by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 7, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio visit China by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 7, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 7, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$21.24May 7, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$1.05May 1, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$2.00Apr 23, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".