Likely-Exhibit
0x9868325cf3760b5256450e561d4ab6095943907e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.56
Total PnL
$-347.34
Realised
$71.42
Win rate
55%
148 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Kevin Latz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
80 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.56
$-1.92
- YES
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 23, 2026?
1018 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on March 25?
183 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- OVER
FC Augsburg vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 4.5
181 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- OVER
Mavericks vs. Clippers: O/U 238.5
181 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- SAN DIEGO STATE AZTECS
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Colorado State Rams
180 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on February 24?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- UP
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 20?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- YES
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- LOUD
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.08May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.08May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.73May 18, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$2.13May 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.48May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$3.33May 18, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce new sanctions on China?$0.04May 18, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$2.46May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$2.46May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$4.06May 18, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFetterman out by December 31, 2026?$0.47May 18, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$0.30May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.00May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$4.15May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.70May 18, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "China" this week?$0.01May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.50May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.65May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$1.30May 18, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 42 and 44 million views on day 2?$2.60May 18, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 148 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".