Expert-Cap
0x98a743405519f6d8b9a6c9395134e16214fedf9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$3.78
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$384.60
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
1891 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.78
$0.00
- YES
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by March 13?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?
99990 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?
97519 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-97.52
- YES
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
62566 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-62.57
- NO
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
34290 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$50.00May 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$50.00May 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$4.07May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.20May 16, 17:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".