Frayed-Hostel
0x98ac23b264a9eb7fb0b50258086f11868a6240d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$385.72
Total PnL
$-356.74
Realised
$9.55
Win rate
44%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?
1491 shares @ 33.3¢·now 21.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$320.64
$-176.48
- YES
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?
16 shares @ 33.3¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$10.24
$4.82
- YES
Will Ian Machado Garry be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
93 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.62
$0.73
- NO
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.48
$-0.00
- NO
Will Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.47
$-0.01
- NO
Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.46
$-0.02
- NO
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.45
$0.00
- NO
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 68.0¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.23
$1.18
- NO
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.8¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.12
$-0.22
- NO
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 86.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.89
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Lord of the Flies" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.18May 18, 03:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Potential - sombr" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.12May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.15May 18, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.35May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.46May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.10May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$3.05May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$1.28May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.49May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.49May 18, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$4.48May 18, 01:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.12May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.56May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Make Them Cry - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.29May 17, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.14May 17, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 17?$1.10May 17, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber, Nicki Minaj" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.06May 17, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.30May 17, 18:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.04May 17, 17:33 UTC
- CONVERSION#1 song on Spotify this week? (May 22)$30.00May 17, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $43.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".