Dimpled-Boy
0x98d973b69565d3564b39f364cc1bf73a62db2c8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$176.34
Realised
$145.95
Win rate
89%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
551 shares @ 90.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$526.13
$27.21
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
565 shares @ 79.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$466.12
$16.12
- NO
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
458 shares @ 87.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$405.61
$6.16
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
409 shares @ 84.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$366.29
$20.44
- NO
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
271 shares @ 70.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$199.22
$8.59
- YES
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
296 shares @ 72.2¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$189.23
$-24.37
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
270 shares @ 69.9¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.90
$-3.80
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
116 shares @ 90.6¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$111.71
$6.71
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
109 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.51
$1.51
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
109 shares @ 91.9¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.31
$1.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$50.00May 18, 06:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?$10.03May 17, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 16?$12.14May 17, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$21.33May 17, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 16?$24.20May 17, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?$20.95May 17, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?$10.53May 17, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 16?$20.62May 17, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?$21.48May 17, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on May 16?$32.85May 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?$10.03May 16, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on May 16?$10.04May 16, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 16?$10.09May 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 16?$10.03May 16, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$0.00May 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 16?$10.06May 16, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 16?$10.03May 16, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 16?$10.08May 16, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $15.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 18:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".