International-Denominator
0x98dac0b8008148211b5cb71ef61106e7fae091b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$19.64
Total PnL
$-9.24
Realised
$4.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
9 shares @ 75.3¢·now 80.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$7.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$5.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$4.69
$-0.31
- NO
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Sep 27, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?
64 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?$1.03May 17, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$1.01May 17, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?$1.03May 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?$1.03May 17, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.15May 17, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.19May 17, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$7.07May 17, 01:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$76.84May 17, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$0.00Apr 12, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.00Apr 8, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.12Apr 8, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".