Occasional-Persimmon
0x98dc1e43f725102ab5071414ba66ffe433bb9949
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$659.46
Total PnL
$-383.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
606 shares @ 24.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$233.49
$87.89
- YES
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
267 shares @ 37.5¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$98.72
$-1.28
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
96 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$96.15
$46.15
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.06
$-40.94
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$52.50
$-47.50
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?
380 shares @ 23.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.90
$-47.50
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
876 shares @ 11.4¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.52
$-82.48
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$12.78
$-37.22
- YES
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?
201 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.34
$2.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-4.5)$50.72May 17, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$68.99May 11, 05:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.62May 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$134.23May 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$60.49May 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$144.08May 10, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$0.05May 10, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$8.37May 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$4.88May 10, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$37.69May 10, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$121.85May 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$100.00May 7, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 7, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$420.52May 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$71.94May 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$45.60May 3, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$45.00May 3, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?$90.09Apr 30, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$50.00Apr 26, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$100.00Apr 26, 19:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $77.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 14:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".