Junior-Raincoat
0x990b0d475c5dde492c1fb67efd9e698662347b0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-29.57
Realised
$2.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
1495 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.5K
$20.94
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
310 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$289.85
$9.65
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.50
$1.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25 shares @ 73.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.13
$-1.23
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
10 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.46
$0.20
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
10 shares @ 72.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.45
$0.20
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
6 shares @ 90.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$0.45
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.00
$0.80
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.97
$0.08
- NO
Netanyahu out by May 31?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.97
$0.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$5.00May 9, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.00May 9, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular sentenced to prison?$3.46May 8, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$11.55May 7, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$90.00May 6, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$91.00May 6, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3.15May 6, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?$3.60May 5, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$98.20May 4, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$4.60May 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$3.90May 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$50.12May 4, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$48.17May 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$98.40May 4, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$16.23May 4, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$82.27May 4, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$98.60May 4, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$3.32May 4, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$4.20May 4, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$4.23May 4, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $58.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 23:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".