First-Verdict
0x992eb4b71ae97be551b4e57f34d0a05da2a9245f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$50.94
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
11 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$11.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.53
$0.04
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.88
$-0.13
- NO
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
7 shares @ 99.6¢·now 95.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$6.99
$-0.31
- NO
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$6.23
$0.01
- NO
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.24
$0.00
- KRYLOV
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Guskov
476 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- BUCHECHA
UFC Fight Night: Buday vs. Buchecha
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Leal and Buchecha
191 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-116.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$11.01May 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$8.01Apr 26, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?$9.49Apr 18, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$7.30Apr 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.00Apr 10, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.24Mar 23, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$6.22Mar 16, 11:14 UTC
- REWARD$0.29Mar 2, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Mar 1, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$81.80Feb 23, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussian strike on Poland by December 31?$80.00Dec 4, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$2.5KDec 4, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$2.5KNov 23, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Girona win on 2025-10-18?$41.71Nov 23, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Osasuna win on 2025-10-18?$65.93Nov 23, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Getafe win on 2025-10-19?$67.42Nov 23, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$97.19Nov 23, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMOver $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?$500.50Nov 23, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.7KNov 23, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.7KOct 18, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $275.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".