Imperfect-Conspiracy
0x99518fa0d201e7542ea2b852809da5a5c8d811bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$12.3K
Total PnL
$3.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?
5011 shares @ 93.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.0K
$305.65
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 not be released by May 31?
3638 shares @ 90.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.6K
$314.48
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1838 shares @ 25.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.8K
$1.4K
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1593 shares @ 24.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.6K
$1.2K
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
227 shares @ 79.6¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$221.42
$40.61
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
40 shares @ 72.4¢·now 81.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.76
$3.81
- YES
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
28 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$25.83
$-0.41
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
464 shares @ 31.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-145.32
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.69May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMEbola emergency by June 30?$601.08May 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$162.67May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$29.94May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$19.97May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$123.75May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$4.99May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$24.55May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$59.89May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$4.99May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$651.69May 17, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$1.5KMay 17, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$363.36May 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$144.00May 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$86.83May 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$598.80May 17, 02:23 UTC
- MERGEEbola emergency by June 30?$980.80May 17, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola emergency by June 30?$1.96May 17, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola emergency by June 30?$832.75May 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$26.30May 17, 01:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $639.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".