Complete-Draft
0x9974a5d270e6353bee0f8379e9a144f3ac4b2840
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$656.44
Total PnL
$60.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
289 shares @ 72.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$262.74
$53.46
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
213 shares @ 81.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$197.38
$22.91
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$142.37
$42.37
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 50.7¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$53.95
$-47.61
- YES
Will Donald Trump's tie be red on May 4, 2026?
14 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$22.46May 8, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$61.07May 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$31.29May 8, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$17.09May 8, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$12.40May 8, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$48.65May 8, 08:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.68May 8, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?$0.34May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?$0.34May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 29?$0.46May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?$0.65May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?$0.77May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?$0.75May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?$0.79May 7, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 30?$0.38May 7, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?$0.12May 7, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 31?$0.07May 7, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 23?$0.04May 7, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 16?$0.04May 7, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?$0.58May 7, 08:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 12:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".