Oblong-Circadian
0x99787031fed732285f3219565d71a87fe9ca7132
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-435.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2032 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$-1.02
- NO
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1455 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-0.73
- NO
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
90 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$89.95
$0.22
- NO
Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
52 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$51.97
$0.03
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?
31 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$30.78
$-0.09
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
31 shares @ 95.5¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.71
$0.58
- NO
Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
25 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$25.00
$0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
23 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$23.00
$0.02
- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
11 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$10.51
$0.18
- YES
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6421 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.63
$-3.21
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.38May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$51.00May 16, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?$30.88May 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$4.98May 16, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KMay 16, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.4KMay 16, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$13.03May 16, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?$24.00May 16, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$42.00May 16, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$167.69May 16, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$1.6KMay 16, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?$1.7KMay 16, 06:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $860.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".