Fearful-Semester
0x997f25da53d08ffd540952c36983099aee1cb3c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-757.11
Realised
$46.10
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
2569 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.3K
$-25.69
- YES
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
655 shares @ 17.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$284.93
$173.57
- NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
359 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.67
$35.86
- YES
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
583 shares @ 34.2¢·now 24.4¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$142.25
$-57.13
- NO
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?
54 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$54.00
$42.12
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
9 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.22
$3.13
- YES
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
21 shares @ 46.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.67
$-2.00
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.26
$1.15
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.84
$0.34
- UNDER
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5
988 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-756.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?$111.35Apr 24, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$222.00Apr 20, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5$756.81Apr 13, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$429.76Apr 13, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$6.24Apr 13, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coingecko be acquired in 2026?$426.60Apr 12, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coingecko be acquired in 2026?$197.20Apr 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$248.50Apr 12, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$3.21Apr 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$100.39Apr 12, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS bank failure by June 30?$107.52Apr 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$19.17Apr 12, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?$119.00Apr 12, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coingecko be acquired in 2026?$734.50Apr 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$441.66Apr 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$441.66Apr 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$426.87Apr 11, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.32Apr 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$72.47Apr 11, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$386.56Apr 11, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $237.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".