Unpleasant-Facelift

• YES

  Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?

  5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 92.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026

  $4.63

  $-0.14

• YES

  Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?

  5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $4.42

  $0.07

• NO

  OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

  5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $4.28

  $-0.13

• NO

  Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

  5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $4.15

  $-0.35

• YES

  Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

  30 shares @ 18.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $4.05

  $-1.35

• YES

  Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

  25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $3.51

  $-3.99

• YES

  Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

  4 shares @ 50.2¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $2.92

  $0.91

• YES

  Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

  25 shares @ 10.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $2.88

  $0.38

• YES

  Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

  16 shares @ 27.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $2.48

  $-1.84

• YES

  Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

  20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $2.30

  $-0.10

• TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.32May 17, 05:05 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$1.70May 16, 19:29 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$3.48May 16, 16:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.01May 16, 06:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.04May 16, 06:15 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.12May 16, 06:13 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.03May 16, 05:48 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.16May 16, 04:02 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.16May 16, 04:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.04May 16, 01:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.11May 16, 00:34 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.01May 16, 00:34 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.02May 16, 00:34 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.01May 16, 00:27 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.20May 16, 00:27 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.07May 16, 00:10 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.01May 15, 23:37 UTC
• REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May 15?$5.00May 15, 18:49 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 16?$0.02May 15, 13:41 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on May 16?$0.17May 15, 13:10 UTC

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