Arid-Index
0x9a71dafc03e3e3f5ef142e39815f16da1f8b163c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$196.98
Total PnL
$-1.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
102 shares @ 97.3¢·now 95.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$97.77
$-1.48
- NO
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
54 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.95
$-0.81
- NO
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
51 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.27
$0.31
- NO
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.00
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$50.99May 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWeed rescheduled by June 30?$51.36May 14, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$50.13May 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$49.69May 14, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$11.57May 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$35.39May 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$50.39May 6, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$49.88May 6, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?$49.62May 6, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$37.48May 3, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRepublicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?$50.34Apr 30, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $5B one day after launch?$1.98Apr 29, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$50.76Apr 29, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$21.85Apr 29, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$13.45Apr 29, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$28.50Apr 29, 05:52 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season$0.00Apr 17, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season$1.0KApr 17, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?$21.81Apr 16, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: UB Alma Mater vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season$966.32Apr 16, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $88.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 02:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".