Flawless-Hardship
0x9a917be3cc7cf8d3dbee25d4a4eceffb5689946c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$171.46
Total PnL
$64.48
Realised
$23.65
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.91
$7.73
- NO
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.04
$6.01
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.11
$5.55
- NO
Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$8.44
$4.21
- NO
Will Reform Party (RP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.50
$3.75
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.48
$3.73
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.47
$3.72
- NO
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.66
$3.33
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 5, 2026$5.64
$2.80
- NO
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.42
$2.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Adelante Andalucia (AA) win the Andalusia regional election?$0.00May 18, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Francisco Trincão score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?$1.08May 17, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill João Carvalho score the most goals in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?$3.74May 17, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yussuf Poulsen be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season?$0.00May 16, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harry Kane have the most assists during the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?$1.49May 16, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$1.50May 15, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darrell Jones win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$0.00May 15, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Villarreal place 2nd for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?$1.50May 14, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$7.50May 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill FUT Esports win IEM Atlanta 2026?$1.50May 13, 21:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?$9.12May 13, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?$20.26May 13, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 55-59 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.50May 12, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$1.07May 12, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$1.13May 12, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?$15.63May 12, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$1.64May 12, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$43.64May 12, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost ≥$3.75 in April?$0.00May 12, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tianna Roberts win American Idol Season 24?$1.41May 12, 08:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $0.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".