Extraneous-Croup
0x9ad64f384d51d850054266ac3ba3ac0eb435cc62
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$326.46
Realised
$209.18
Win rate
100%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
490 shares @ 59.7¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$357.88
$64.98
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
350 shares @ 82.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$323.75
$34.95
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
300 shares @ 80.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$271.50
$28.74
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
200 shares @ 82.3¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$187.00
$22.40
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
250 shares @ 78.6¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$186.25
$-10.25
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
490 shares @ 33.9¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$132.42
$-34.07
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
120 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.00
$9.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
100 shares @ 75.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$95.95
$20.79
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
100 shares @ 81.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.30
$11.27
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
338 shares @ 13.7¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$59.10
$12.83
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$17.66May 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$35.35May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$92.60May 17, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.92May 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$46.18May 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$10.00May 16, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?$1.48May 16, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?$0.05May 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$47.00May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?$81.62May 14, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?$162.99May 14, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?$19.18May 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?$3.20May 14, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$3.77May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$22.50May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$14.97May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$91.93May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$54.25May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$47.00May 14, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$74.00May 14, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $38.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".