Hideous-Toughguy
0x9af01aeccfd6eab069c8be4ec4011de41a2f5816
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$601.31
Realised
$372.62
Win rate
35%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
1168 shares @ 62.7¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$747.69
$14.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1019 shares @ 71.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$698.17
$-28.82
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
788 shares @ 85.8¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$662.25
$-14.42
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
783 shares @ 83.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$642.25
$-13.68
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
556 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$414.00
$35.90
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
410 shares @ 89.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$395.51
$28.32
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
398 shares @ 92.2¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$378.51
$11.68
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
384 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$373.10
$2.01
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
373 shares @ 92.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$344.97
$1.31
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
398 shares @ 60.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$343.97
$104.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$7.37May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$28.90May 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$9.75May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$48.60May 16, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$150.99May 16, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$24.38May 16, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $39.79May 16, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$25.15May 16, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$5.41May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine Peace Parlay$5.05May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $8.30May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$8.05May 14, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.94May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$10.70May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?$11.66May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $12.58May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$8.41May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$5.17May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?$10.58May 14, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.92May 14, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $39.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".