First-Notation
0x9b599aff58ebc046e4665655f6f38fd01e17bfc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$217.72
Total PnL
$-122.53
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
170 shares @ 56.1¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$101.39
$5.77
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
96 shares @ 52.8¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.13
$16.41
- NO
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
28 shares @ 66.4¢·now 62.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$17.36
$-1.23
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
90 shares @ 19.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.90
$-2.54
- YES
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
10 shares @ 64.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$5.70
$-0.59
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
66 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.63
$0.33
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.54
$-4.46
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
27 shares @ 5.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.62
$0.27
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 5.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.37
$-0.71
- NO
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
5 shares @ 7.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.07
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.97May 18, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.05May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$67.20May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$79.52May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$60.77May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$17.28May 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.33May 18, 02:26 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.18May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$210.56May 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?$12.47May 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$2.70May 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$3.60May 17, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$3.97May 17, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$2.40May 17, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$2.80May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$2.80May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$3.85May 17, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$3.30May 17, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.75May 17, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $16.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".