Idle-Tinderbox
0x9c5039cb1bb220f8fe99868779275ef02c04dd86
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-36.72
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?
1067 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.1K
$2.13
- NO
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.24
$0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 29?
4274 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.55
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 26?
1118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 11?
1103 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 5?
1094 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 18?
1088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?
1077 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 29?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on May 18?$1.1KMay 18, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 17?$1.1KMay 17, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on May 16?$1.1KMay 16, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?$1.1KMay 15, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?$1.1KMay 15, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 14?$1.1KMay 14, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 14?$1.1KMay 14, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?$1.1KMay 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 13?$1.1KMay 13, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 8?$3.23May 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.20May 6, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.22May 6, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.24May 6, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on April 29?$2.15Apr 29, 01:44 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Apr 24, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 18?$3.27Apr 18, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.21Apr 14, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 9?$2.15Apr 9, 02:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $435.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 25, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".