Made-Up-Lye
0x9c8c01656d5bcde82bba4325bdcd27051ba77026
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$72.39
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-7.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
85 shares @ 59.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.02
$-13.98
- NO
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
207 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$26.90
$-49.63
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
332 shares @ 27.1¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.47
$-80.53
- NO
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
2878 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-47.99
- YES
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
2000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?
1529 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-52.52
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?
1237 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?
400 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
251 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?$51.14May 8, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?$52.54May 8, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on April 29?$60.00Apr 28, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 25?$62.21Apr 26, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 25?$40.00Apr 24, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 25?$40.00Apr 24, 08:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 22?$80.12Apr 24, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 22?$40.00Apr 22, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C or higher on April 22?$40.00Apr 22, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on April 21?$50.00Apr 21, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?$60.00Apr 9, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 9?$60.00Apr 9, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?$163.22Apr 7, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 7?$50.00Apr 6, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?$14.80Apr 3, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$7.12Apr 3, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$1.99Mar 23, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?$18.78Mar 22, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?$2.99Mar 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?$19.91Mar 19, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $18.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 13:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".