Self-Reliant-Distribution
0x9c987f84d18a4dd640909409b31212fbb805f4f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$55.7K
Total PnL
$-36.2K
Realised
$812.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
27781 shares @ 86.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.7K
$1.7K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
24922 shares @ 82.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$23.8K
$3.3K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
8621 shares @ 58.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.2K
$1.2K
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
16134 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-9.7K
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
12188 shares @ 77.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.5K
- YES
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
11393 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
9892 shares @ 75.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.5K
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
9575 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.1K
- NO
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
8103 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.5K
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
3439 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$500.00May 17, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$934.58May 16, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$0.00May 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$800.00May 10, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$794.80May 10, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$780.00May 8, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.0KMay 6, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$4.8KMay 6, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$11.0KMay 6, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.0KMay 6, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$5.0KMay 3, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$3.0KMay 3, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$9.5KMay 3, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.0KMay 1, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$3.8KMay 1, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.0KMay 1, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.0KMay 1, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$10.0KMay 1, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kelp DAO socialize the losses?$464.50May 1, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $5.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 10:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".