Shiny-Lie
0x9cb35555b913c805a62a2e34bce4ef14f0e81367
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$662.00
Win rate
85%
184 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
197 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$188.35
$0.99
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
200 shares @ 79.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$149.12
$-9.01
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 76.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$123.17
$-29.04
- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
140 shares @ 89.6¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$121.71
$-3.78
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
183 shares @ 72.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$109.14
$-22.93
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
120 shares @ 65.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$61.83
$-16.21
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
60 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 19, 2026$58.36
$-0.21
- NO
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?
60 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$57.84
$-1.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
60 shares @ 93.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$55.85
$-0.57
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
60 shares @ 95.2¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$55.71
$-1.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$9.13May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$4.04May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?$29.66May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$26.28May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$11.47May 18, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$2.00May 18, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Syria security agreement by June 30?$45.36May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$1.26May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$1.17May 18, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$18.98May 18, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$0.44May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?$8.60May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEbola case in the US by June 30?$1.57May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kyle Sweetser be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?$5.38May 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?$6.39May 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$1.00May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$42.00May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$12.72May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?$1.50May 18, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$0.41May 18, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $9.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 06:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 184 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".