Spotted-Walrus
0x9cfc8652596a58ed9bec8e9bbfa0632dd5ffd96e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$18.39
Total PnL
$-8.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- OVER 5.5
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.82
$5.82
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$0.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will Anas Sarwar be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
25 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
US bank failure by December 31?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?$1.02May 15, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$1.31May 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$0.45May 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$1.03May 13, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$1.04May 10, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.02May 10, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.01May 10, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?$1.00May 5, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5$3.06May 3, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?$1.05May 3, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Swinney be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?$1.06May 3, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5$2.02May 2, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.20May 2, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$0.31May 2, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$5.15May 2, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.99May 1, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.85Apr 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.96Apr 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.02Apr 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.00Apr 28, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 01:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 19:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".