Ample-Instance
0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$555.9K
Total PnL
$-737.3K
Realised
$315.5K
Win rate
73%
122 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
225642 shares @ 67.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.8K
$5.1K
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
92425 shares @ 4.9¢·now 64.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.2K
$54.7K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
64706 shares @ 26.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.3K
$27.1K
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
44253 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.8K
$2.5K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
51034 shares @ 11.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.7K
$30.1K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
124033 shares @ 36.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.7K
$-24.1K
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
20004 shares @ 58.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.1K
$6.4K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
95822 shares @ 18.2¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.9K
$467.99
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
48032 shares @ 84.2¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$17.5K
$-22.9K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
107407 shares @ 9.6¢·now 13.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.8K
$4.4K
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$9.67May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$9.09May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$12.28May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$157.33May 17, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$9.56May 17, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$36.34May 17, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$246.48May 17, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$109.85May 17, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$197.19May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$171.82May 17, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$9.26May 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$3.39May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$35.48May 17, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$143.28May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$677.17May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.4KMay 17, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$13.00May 17, 02:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.60May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$9.17May 17, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$8.64May 17, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $418.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 16:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 122 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".