Taut-Optimist
0x9e1ac2a1abad54154b107ddcb2bb56df58cebaf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.73
Total PnL
$-423.35
Realised
$-43.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
707 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.12
$-2.36
- YES
Will Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?
979 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.88
$-15.32
- YES
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 10.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.60
$-17.43
- YES
Will Keaton Verhoeff be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
261 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.13
$-7.71
- YES
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1940 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
1763 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.18
- YES
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
600 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.33
- YES
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
545 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- OVER 5.5
NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Wild Total Games O/U 5.5
511 shares @ 48.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-249.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWild vs. Avalanche$510.00May 14, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Avalanche$197.40May 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Wild Total Games O/U 5.5$252.83May 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Lakers$1.18May 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Wild$2.24May 12, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?$10.29May 8, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Cirelli win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?$11.53May 8, 04:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elias Pettersson win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?$0.00May 8, 04:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Wild vs. Stars Total Games O/U 5.5$249.85May 1, 05:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Hurricanes (-1.5)$19.20Apr 29, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Hurricanes vs. Senators Total Games O/U 5.5$32.60Apr 29, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Senators: O/U 6.5$0.00Apr 29, 03:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Wild vs. Stars Total Games O/U 5.5$245.00Apr 26, 00:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $113.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 04:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".