Novel-Meantime
0x9e51e9ccaf506958f7996fdd4cfbdb2efd97b3aa
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$52.26
Total PnL
$-18.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
36 shares @ 94.9¢·now 93.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.57
$-0.43
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will SZA be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
4 shares @ 98.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.47
$-0.09
- NO
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- TEAM PHANTASMA
LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO5) - HLL Playoffs
9 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- PIPSQUEAK+4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$34.07May 15, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 1?$14.08May 15, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 2?$19.04May 15, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 2?$18.05Apr 30, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 1?$14.00Apr 30, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill March 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$3.06Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye West release an album in 2026?$4.26Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs$4.35Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 26?$4.42Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill March 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$5.21Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BIG vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs$10.03Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- REWARD$2.30Apr 1, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Apr 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 26?$4.38Mar 25, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BIG vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs$10.00Mar 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?$5.00Mar 25, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs$4.00Mar 25, 17:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 10:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".