Scarce-Nexus
0x9e7e57fbc4dd03dc7b0eea98f1f01bc100083e1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$54.9K
Total PnL
$16.3K
Realised
$153.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
66012 shares @ 47.9¢·now 69.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.1K
$14.5K
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
21000 shares @ 17.6¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$4.5K
$815.36
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 79.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$260.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 72.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$844.96
$124.99
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$714.99
$155.00
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$430.00
$190.00
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
371 shares @ 69.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$337.92
$81.69
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
86 shares @ 73.4¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$80.55
$17.33
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
42 shares @ 77.4¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$40.74
$8.59
- YES
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
5 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$3.65
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$27.71May 18, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$6.98May 18, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.99May 18, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00May 18, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$11.56May 18, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.89May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$7.68May 18, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$949.99May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$69.90May 18, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$960.00May 18, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$71.02May 16, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$401.21May 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$214.62May 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$70.40May 16, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$20.33May 16, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$220.56May 16, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.0KMay 16, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$206.00May 16, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$34.30May 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$47.81May 15, 23:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $451.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 04:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".