Afraid-Mrna
0x9f444616d2450a5151922ac7c889911950b97470
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
195
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-225.81
Realised
$83.87
Win rate
66%
61 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 195- NO
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
57 shares @ 67.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$48.44
$9.99
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
1991 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$42.61
$4.78
- YES
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
259 shares @ 30.8¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$37.52
$-42.15
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?
37 shares @ 81.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.24
$0.85
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.00
$6.00
- YES
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
59 shares @ 8.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$24.90
$20.21
- YES
Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
440 shares @ 2.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$23.57
$12.26
- NO
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
28 shares @ 63.9¢·now 71.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$20.26
$2.16
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?
18 shares @ 93.4¢·now 95.2¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.59
$0.32
- YES
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
23 shares @ 64.3¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$16.97
$1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.02May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.08May 18, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.35May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?$0.83May 18, 04:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$0.07May 17, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00May 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?$0.01May 17, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Kiper win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00May 17, 04:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?$6.42May 16, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?$6.14May 16, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?$6.09May 16, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Williams finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.68May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04May 16, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christina Bohannan be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?$4.78May 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04May 15, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?$6.19May 15, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 61 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".