Unruly-Thunderbolt
0x9fe8575b05313c440340e3ae21af1e0e300c2c91
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
10000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$575.00
$-225.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
10000 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$465.00
$-16.98
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
1000 shares @ 38.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$375.00
$-5.00
- YES
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
1339 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$314.66
$-87.81
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$305.00
$5.00
- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$230.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
2062 shares @ 6.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$195.93
$65.32
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
2000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$130.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
3000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$43.50
$-46.50
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
252098 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-723.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$300.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.24May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$90.00May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$114.79May 17, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$392.00May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$2.14May 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$4.29May 17, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$4.29May 17, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$4.29May 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$120.42May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$12.48May 17, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$3.00May 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$0.43May 17, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$6.00May 17, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$10.35May 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$89.98May 17, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$380.00May 16, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$5.26May 16, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$23.43May 16, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$1.31May 16, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $71.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".