Complicated-Preservation
0x9ffd97683510193d4550f4d281567e9cd6475f97
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$936.26
Total PnL
$-12.52
Realised
$230.25
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
349 shares @ 84.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$330.23
$35.93
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
600 shares @ 34.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$249.00
$40.50
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
800 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$109.60
$-2.48
- YES
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?
79 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.33
$3.15
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
125 shares @ 72.6¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$70.62
$-20.14
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
35 shares @ 88.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$30.45
$-0.60
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
63 shares @ 69.1¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$22.81
$-20.36
- NO
Will voter turnout be <48% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
16 shares @ 81.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.09
$2.30
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
15 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.91
$0.15
- NO
Will Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$4.95
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$43.50May 17, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$13.12May 17, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$177.64May 17, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$14.50May 17, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$12.86May 17, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$80.00May 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?$2.97May 7, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pacto Histórico win 24-26 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?$75.01May 7, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$27.10Apr 27, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be <48% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.53Apr 26, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$18.00Apr 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be <48% in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$4.26Apr 26, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.50Apr 26, 06:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$3.45Apr 25, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$110.00Apr 25, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$2.08Apr 25, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9.61Apr 25, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$8.64Apr 25, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$60.00Apr 25, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$17.20Apr 24, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $20.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".