Simple-Exercise
0xa03201c619f89158f3e57f48bf0304cf70a7679e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$64.62
Total PnL
$-59.04
Realised
$-2.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
36 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$14.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
16 shares @ 81.2¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$13.10
$0.12
- SHIN
StarCraft II: Classic vs SHIN (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$8.02
$-1.98
- HERO
StarCraft II: Solar vs herO (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$7.53
$-2.47
- CLEM
StarCraft II: Clem vs Lambo (BO5) - RSL Revival Playoffs
13 shares @ 74.3¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$7.07
$-2.93
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.95
$-0.05
- YES
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
59 shares @ 50.9¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.91
$-29.09
- YES
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 56-58 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.04
$-15.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$52.63May 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$50.17May 18, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$57.72May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$50.47May 18, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$56.73May 18, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$56.20May 18, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$11.46May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$10.29May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$8.79May 18, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$7.14May 18, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?$11.90May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?$10.05May 17, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2.51May 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$7.40May 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$8.46May 17, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$7.09May 17, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.01May 17, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$17.50May 17, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$7.29May 17, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".