Idealistic-Island
0xa03ffbef4f69b354c914a6287d64e679e833a7da
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$2.86
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$-398.46
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?
5719 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 25, 2026$2.86
$-417.37
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
59439 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?
7296 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
4263 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-938.43
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
584 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the State of the Union be 100 minutes or longer?
370 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
357 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?
336 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-63.37
- YES
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
270 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-102.60
Recent activity
- REWARD$12.54May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$71.40May 2, 22:24 UTC
- REWARD$12.54Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$46.32Apr 27, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.54Apr 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$2.86Apr 18, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.09Apr 16, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.71Apr 16, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$0.32Apr 16, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$32.00Apr 15, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.14Apr 14, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$0.29Apr 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$2.86Apr 14, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$0.36Apr 14, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$4.00Apr 14, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.02Apr 14, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?$1.03Apr 13, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$193.20Apr 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$110.00Apr 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$100.00Apr 12, 15:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $39.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 23:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".