Capital-Hole
0xa0ac9f215e5aed8c18580a266fdd134ba2edb38b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$21.68
Total PnL
$-9.05
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Carles Gil win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 34.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.69
$10.69
- YES
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be 5% or higher?
12 shares @ 6.0¢·now 33.2¢·exp Feb 12, 2027$4.13
$3.38
- YES
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.34
$0.34
- YES
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.58
$-0.22
- YES
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
39 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
- YES
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 13.5¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.54
$-0.40
- NO
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
66 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.8¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Internacional win Brazil Série A?
21 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 16, 2026$0.42
$-0.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Rudy Salas advance from the CA-22 Primary?
13 shares @ 7.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.29
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$1.16May 5, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$1.44Apr 29, 18:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03Apr 26, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football draft be a QB? $0.00Apr 24, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.00Apr 23, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$0.00Apr 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?$0.56Apr 22, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.11Apr 21, 04:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?$0.00Apr 18, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close at $330-$340 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$0.00Apr 18, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or higher on April 17?$0.00Apr 18, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17?$0.00Apr 18, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close at $600-$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?$0.00Apr 18, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dominik Szoboszlai record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$0.00Apr 18, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17?$1.28Apr 18, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Cox win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$1.30Apr 18, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?$0.00Apr 18, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 17?$0.00Apr 18, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sabrina Carpenter arrest Sexyy Red during Juno?$0.00Apr 18, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 06:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".