Afraid-Shower
0xa0b6587527d1243da6e36f48d5cc7696df8c3961
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$35.1K
Total PnL
$14.0K
Realised
$-72.87
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
61153 shares @ 13.6¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.3K
$6.9K
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
10266 shares @ 37.6¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.2K
$3.4K
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
15133 shares @ 26.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.2K
$3.2K
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
6268 shares @ 46.6¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.5K
$1.6K
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
715 shares @ 34.8¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$536.11
$287.71
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
199 shares @ 62.8¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$169.19
$44.23
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
400 shares @ 24.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.00
$12.00
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
121 shares @ 48.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$104.80
$45.69
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
5956 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-948.04
- NO
Will Russia capture Zarichne by March 31, 2026?
1418 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$3.60May 18, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$48.00May 18, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$50.35May 18, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.20May 18, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$19.00May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$15.33May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$6.11May 17, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?$30.08May 17, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$70.50May 17, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$96.00May 13, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$8.50May 13, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?$104.57May 13, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 11, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$106.20May 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$76.00May 11, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$31.20May 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?$95.70May 9, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$95.65May 9, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$49.20May 9, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?$49.28May 9, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $97.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 03:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".