Genuine-Discipline
0xa0bbb9baaa2cbb99575218d79ef7152047b01146
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-7.61
Realised
$-1.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
1120 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.1K
$-0.56
- NO
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1021 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.0K
$-0.51
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.00
$-3.00
- NO
Stripe IPO before 2027?
8 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.16
$-0.04
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
23 shares @ 17.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.87
$-1.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStripe IPO before 2027?$7.23May 18, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 18, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.1KMay 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.36May 18, 04:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 18, 02:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 13, 07:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.20May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.0KMay 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.1KMay 9, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$13.20May 9, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?$50.00May 9, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in April?$954.93May 9, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $655.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".